← All games · August 24, 2026

Pregame preview

Monday, August 24, 2026 · 09:40 PM ET

Pittsburgh PiratesProjected runs4.13
Projected WinnerSan Diego Padres+0.00 SD
San Diego PadresProjected runs4.13

Petco Park

Pittsburgh Pirates

Team stats · entering today

OPIPittsburgh Pirates offense. Offensive Potency Index — rolling batting Impact per plate appearance before today.
SIPittsburgh Pirates pitching staff. Suppression Index — rolling opponent batting Impact allowed. Lower is better.
RPGRolling runs scored per game before today.4.33
RA/GRolling runs allowed per game before today. Lower is better.4.59
Pen qualityRolling bullpen Impact rate — how effectively relievers limit damage per batter faced.
FormRecent RPG vs season RPG — positive means the offense is running hotter than its baseline.-0.63
Lineup OPSAverage OPS for the projected top nine vs L (LHP), minimum 20 PA in that split.
Top-3 OPSAverage OPS vs LHP for batters projected 1–3 in the order.

Probable starter

RHP

Braxton Ashcraft

Pittsburgh Pirates

ERA3.68
WHIP1.08
BAA.231
IP149.1
SO159
BB33

San Diego Padres

Team stats · entering today

OPISan Diego Padres offense. Offensive Potency Index — rolling batting Impact per plate appearance before today.
SISan Diego Padres pitching staff. Suppression Index — rolling opponent batting Impact allowed. Lower is better.
RPGRolling runs scored per game before today.4.93
RA/GRolling runs allowed per game before today. Lower is better.3.64
Pen qualityRolling bullpen Impact rate — how effectively relievers limit damage per batter faced.
FormRecent RPG vs season RPG — positive means the offense is running hotter than its baseline.0.62
Lineup OPSAverage OPS for the projected top nine vs R (RHP), minimum 20 PA in that split.
Top-3 OPSAverage OPS vs RHP for batters projected 1–3 in the order.

Probable starter

LHP

Robbie Ray

San Diego Padres

ERA3.20
WHIP1.31
BAA.226
IP137.2
SO117
BB68

Model factor edges

Platoon RPGLineup vs starter handEvenLineup vs starter hand
Lineup strengthTop-9 OPS vs opp handEvenTop-9 OPS vs opp hand
Statcast starterxwOBA / whiff EWMEvenxwOBA / whiff EWM
Bullpen fatigue3-day pen IP edgeEven3-day pen IP edge
Pen qualityImpact rate EWMEvenImpact rate EWM
Park factorPetco ParkEvenPetco Park
WeatherWeather unavailableEvenWeather unavailable
UmpireUmpire unavailableEvenUmpire unavailable

Lineups

OPS splits vs opposing starter · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Robbie Ray (LHP) · San Diego Padres vs Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)

Pittsburgh Pirates

PlayerPAOPSSeason OPS vs opposing starter hand.
1Brandon Lowe
2Bryan Reynolds
3Esmerlyn Valdez
4Ryan O'Hearn
5Nick Gonzales
6Jared Triolo
7Billy Cook
8Marcell Ozuna
9Rafael Flores Jr.

San Diego Padres

PlayerPAOPSSeason OPS vs opposing starter hand.
1Jackson Merrill
2Fernando Tatis Jr.
3Xander Bogaerts
4Gavin Sheets
5Manny Machado
6Ty France
7Miguel Andujar
8Luis Rengifo
9Luis Campusano